Political commentators have made up their minds about Vladamir Putin regaining the Russian presidency, regardless of the large vocal opposition that continues to demonstrate in the streets. Whether he wins legitimately with his base of supporters in the Russian frontier or rigs the outcome like last year’s legislative elections, it is assumed that his return to the presidency is inevitable.
But what is also becoming inevitable is that Putin won’t be able to retain control of his presidency for the next six years. The Putin regime has already lost some legitimacy in all the upheaval and the protesters are preparing for the long-haul. As internet access chisels away at the power of Russia’s state-owned media and cracks appear in Putin’s public facade, it’s only a matter of time before serious regime change takes place. The question now is whether Putin will have to step down early like his unpopular predecessor Boris Yeltsin or whether an armed uprising like those sweeping through the Arab world will ultimately do him in.
